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The Casey Samson Team

Inventory vs. Sales™

Who Is Coming to Market?

Week of October 22, 2026

Sellers Are Outpacing Buyers Nearly Two to One

802 homes came on the market in the last 30 days and buyers signed 467 contracts.

Two bars per market, on the same scale. Sellers in is homes listed in the last 30 days; Buyers in is homes that went under contract. Whichever bar is longer is the side entering that market faster. The line underneath follows the new listings themselves — how many have already sold.

More buyers entering than sellers Close to even Sellers entering faster Sellers entering twice as fast or more

Family

Homes under 3,500 SF

610 Family Sellers In, 376 Buyers In

Sellers are entering the family market faster. Of the 610 new listings, 197 are already under contract — 32%.

Oakton 90% as many buyers
Sellers in10
Buyers in9

6 of those 10 new listings are already under contract · 60%

Haymarket 89% as many buyers
Sellers in18
Buyers in16

6 of those 18 new listings are already under contract · 33%

McLean 81% as many buyers
Sellers in21
Buyers in17

7 of those 21 new listings are already under contract · 33%

Fairfax 80% as many buyers
Sellers in65
Buyers in52

28 of those 65 new listings are already under contract · 43%

Aldie 75% as many buyers
Sellers in4
Buyers in3

0 of those 4 new listings are already under contract · 0%

Ashburn* 73% as many buyers
Sellers in33
Buyers in24

19 of those 33 new listings are already under contract · 58%

Fairfax Station 69% as many buyers
Sellers in13
Buyers in9

5 of those 13 new listings are already under contract · 38%

Chantilly 67% as many buyers
Sellers in18
Buyers in12

9 of those 18 new listings are already under contract · 50%

Centreville 61% as many buyers
Sellers in23
Buyers in14

9 of those 23 new listings are already under contract · 39%

Reston 59% as many buyers
Sellers in27
Buyers in16

11 of those 27 new listings are already under contract · 41%

Vienna 57% as many buyers
Sellers in47
Buyers in27

16 of those 47 new listings are already under contract · 34%

Warrenton 57% as many buyers
Sellers in46
Buyers in26

15 of those 46 new listings are already under contract · 33%

Winchester 56% as many buyers
Sellers in94
Buyers in53

15 of those 94 new listings are already under contract · 16%

Arlington 55% as many buyers
Sellers in110
Buyers in61

36 of those 110 new listings are already under contract · 33%

Round Hill 50% as many buyers
Sellers in14
Buyers in7

2 of those 14 new listings are already under contract · 14%

Leesburg* 48% as many buyers
Sellers in40
Buyers in19

9 of those 40 new listings are already under contract · 22%

Great Falls 42% as many buyers
Sellers in12
Buyers in5

2 of those 12 new listings are already under contract · 17%

Purcellville 40% as many buyers
Sellers in15
Buyers in6

2 of those 15 new listings are already under contract · 13%

Luxury

Homes over 3,500 SF

192 Luxury Sellers In, 91 Buyers In

Sellers are entering the luxury market faster. Of the 192 new listings, 40 are already under contract — 21%.

Arlington 73% as many buyers
Sellers in15
Buyers in11

3 of those 15 new listings are already under contract · 20%

Ashburn* 73% as many buyers
Sellers in11
Buyers in8

2 of those 11 new listings are already under contract · 18%

Vienna 71% as many buyers
Sellers in17
Buyers in12

5 of those 17 new listings are already under contract · 29%

Oakton 67% as many buyers
Sellers in6
Buyers in4

2 of those 6 new listings are already under contract · 33%

Aldie 56% as many buyers
Sellers in9
Buyers in5

3 of those 9 new listings are already under contract · 33%

Chantilly 56% as many buyers
Sellers in9
Buyers in5

4 of those 9 new listings are already under contract · 44%

Leesburg* 50% as many buyers
Sellers in26
Buyers in13

5 of those 26 new listings are already under contract · 19%

Winchester 50% as many buyers
Sellers in2
Buyers in1

0 of those 2 new listings are already under contract · 0%

Fairfax 43% as many buyers
Sellers in7
Buyers in3

1 of those 7 new listings are already under contract · 14%

Centreville 40% as many buyers
Sellers in5
Buyers in2

2 of those 5 new listings are already under contract · 40%

Reston 40% as many buyers
Sellers in5
Buyers in2

2 of those 5 new listings are already under contract · 40%

Haymarket 36% as many buyers
Sellers in14
Buyers in5

2 of those 14 new listings are already under contract · 14%

McLean 36% as many buyers
Sellers in22
Buyers in8

3 of those 22 new listings are already under contract · 14%

Warrenton 30% as many buyers
Sellers in10
Buyers in3

2 of those 10 new listings are already under contract · 20%

Purcellville 29% as many buyers
Sellers in7
Buyers in2

2 of those 7 new listings are already under contract · 29%

Great Falls 27% as many buyers
Sellers in22
Buyers in6

2 of those 22 new listings are already under contract · 9%

Fairfax Station 25% as many buyers
Sellers in4
Buyers in1

0 of those 4 new listings are already under contract · 0%

Round Hill 0% as many buyers
Sellers in1
Buyers in0

0 of those 1 new listings are already under contract · 0%

New listings and new contracts counted from the MLS over the 30 days from 2026-09-04 to 2026-10-04. 87 Coming Soon listings are excluded — they have not reached the market yet. Family is under 3,500 SF above grade; Luxury is 3,500 and over.